Configure & Run Simulation
Set your parameters on the left and click Run Simulation to see the full competitive analysis.
📈 Cumulative Cash Flow Gap
🎯 Market Share Dynamics
🤖 AI Capability S-Curves
📉 Profitability J-Curve
💀 Technical Debt Rise
⚡ P10–P90 Risk Bands
📊 Strategic Outcome Summary
Median path across 300 Monte Carlo scenarios. Green = Adopter wins. Red = Laggard loses.
NPV Profit Gap (Adopter − Laggard)
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Confidence range loading…
Productivity Multiplier at End
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Adopter vs. Laggard output per cost unit
Crossover Quarter (NPV)
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When Adopter NPV surpasses Laggard
Charts
💰 Cumulative Profit Gap Over Time
The widening gap between firms' cumulative profits. Confidence bands show P10–P90 range across 300 Monte Carlo runs. Yellow dashed line = crossover point.
Adopter
Laggard
P10–P90 band
🎯 Market Share Dynamics
As the Adopter's capabilities compound, share shifts steadily. Laggard erosion is irreversible once gap opens.
🤖 AI & Digital Capability (S-Curves)
Effective capability after implementation lag. Solid = AI; dashed = digital maturity. Both follow saturation S-curves.
📉 Profitability J-Curve
Quarterly operating profit. The Adopter dips early (investment + disruption cost) then surges. The Laggard flatlines then slowly erodes.
💀 Technical Debt & Productivity Index
Solid lines = Technical Debt (left axis). Dashed = Productivity index (right axis). Laggard debt grows; Adopter's investments keep it low.
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Executive Insight
Run the simulation to generate the executive narrative…